Ervin Santana on the road is a different pitcher and he's off two great performances with 100+ pitches. I think he'lll struggle against Boston because he's a fly ball pitcher who gives up a high % of HR's and playing Boston could be tough. Boston has 133 AB with a .842 OPS and 10 HR off him with Napoli his former catcher having 3 HR in just 15 AB. I look for Napoli to go deep in this game. Boston on the other hand is 7-1 in day games and send Ryan Dempter to the mound who has a 1.50 ERA at home this year and a 2.65 xFIP ont he year compared to Santana's 3.70. KC is also 8-20 on the road vs RH starter over their last 28. Boston is scoring more than 3.5 runs per 9 vs. RHP compared with the Royals at just 3.39 because the Red Sox are scoring 6.02. With David Ortiz back in the line up those numbers will only increase.


I like the Indians to continue their scorching offensive run from a day ago and to take game 3 from the Astros who are 18-53 in their last 71 game 3's. I think this is excellent value considering the Indians are better vs. LHP and they'll have Jiminez on the mound who tends to pitch well against these type of teams.

Jiminez main issue has been home runs and BB's which kind of go hand in hand, but the Astros are 24th in BB's and are even worse on their home and vs. RHP splits. Same goes for home runs they are 13th, but at home they are ranked 21st. Houston also is ranked 27th with a .589 OPS during day games while Cleveland is #1 with a .955 OPS. Houston is also ranked 29th in ERA during day games and are 0-4. Jiminez has had 2 starts vs. Houston over the last three years and posts a 0 ERA holding them to a .108 average and .375 OPS in 37 combined at bats.

Erik Bedard on the other hand has allowed an .890 OPS in 87 combined at bats vs. the Indians. Indians have beaten up LHP with 5.77 runs per 9 overall on the season 8.48 runs per 9 on the road. Their bullpen is also 2 runs better than the Astros who had to pitch a bunch of guys in yesterday's blow out loss. Houston has struggled to hit RHP at home with a .185 average and 1.97 runs per 9 at home. This is exactly the type of game Jiminez can have a quality start in and I think he will after two rough performances.

Where to find Freddy?